Don't have an account? The expert also just missed a massive 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. Sleeper pick: Lee Westwood, +11,000. The 33-year-old won two weeks ago at the Dubai Desert Classic, and the No. With windy conditions over the weekend a year ago, Scottie Scheffler won the event at 5-under and only 10 players finished the tournament under par. A T21 at home followed two weeks later. Ill take the great putter who doesnt have an ounce of quit. Now, McClure has set his sights on the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 and revealed his optimal PGA DFS picks. He ranks first in strokes gained around the green, and McDonald knows that is a huge benefit. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis. Sam Horsfield(+200 for a Top 40) When youre talented, youre talented. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at He finished T-10 last week at the WM Phoenix Open and T-8 at this event in 2021. Power limped into the clubhouse but has shown he can get hot at any given moment. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. His stats from this season wont jump off the page, but hes played well lately (T28 or better in his past four, including a win) and should have a good chance this week. McIlroy has had a ton of success at this tournament. Lee +19000J.J. Now just three months from his 32nd birthday, the native of Seoul, South Korea, is making his PGA Championship debut as the fifth-best golfer from his homeland (at 115th in the Official World Golf Ranking). One and Done Selections - The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2. He finished inside the top 10 at this event three of the last four years. Hovland has the pedigree to win at least a couple of majors during his career. So, yeah, that counts, but Higgo stays entirely on that side of the ball. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is . Lee, +22,500. Although hes still on the rise globally, hes no stranger to the brightest lights having made five starts in majors previously. Hes also 4-for-5 in 2023 with a T29 last week at Riviera where he flashed his game in a microcosm. Jordan Spieth is back to doing Jordan Spieth things, and it feels like this is finally his time to complete the career grand slam. They're a must-see for any PGA DFS player. Since Flag Hunting formed at the start of the 2021-22 season, I've cashed a total of 14 outright tickets in 58 events (a nearly 25% hit rate) and profited nearly $12,000 from betting just $350 . To-win: Abraham Ancer, +5,500. Sleeper pick: Jason Kokrak, +13,000. CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. Hes followed by Scottie Scheffler with a 7.69% implied probability and then Xander Schauffele at 5.58%. Whether youre seeking Honda Classic odds in February, Travelers Championship betting in June, or 3M Open odds in July, you can find everything at the sportsbook. McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational and has tabbed several longshots, including two who come in well over 80-1. The affable personality is a short-lister for sponsor exemptions, when necessary, and theyll come in handy playing on conditional status, but the pressure is eased at 109th in the FedExCup. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. Justin Thomas, who took home the Wanamaker last Sunday, is teeing it up at Colonial Country Club and is the betting favorite at +1000. More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. Scottie Schefflermade a massive move up the leaderboard last year on Saturday and that is validated by the incredible round 3 scoring average which is the 2nd best on the slate. The app, which is owned by GOLF.coms parent company, 8AM Golf, is designed to inject the adrenaline of live gambling into a fun, risk-free contest. Its been exactly one year since his last victory and he just turned 26. The 28-year-old ranks ninth in strokes gained putting and 22nd around the green, both weak points last season. Genesis Invitational Betting Card & Other Predictions, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023: Winners Payout & Prize Money Earnings, Arnold Palmer Invitational First & Second Round Tee Times. This was a tough card to put together. His happy-go-lucky attitude may also work well at the Ocean Course, where being able to roll with the punches can be invaluable. The rough isnt very penalizing, but players must avoid strategically placed water hazards. Dean Burmester(+275 for a Top 40) The very recent winner of the PGA Championship OK, so it was the tournament of the same name on the Sunshine Tour in November, but its not wrong and no one ever can take it away from him the 32-year-old representing South Africa has eight wins on his home circuit. The players who are most likely to have success this week are the ones who can position themselves well off the tee by working their golf ball in both directions and then scramble well around the greens. 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Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the St. Francis vs. Fairleigh Dickinson odds, and make our. Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with an 11.11% implied probability. Its Horsfields third DP WORLD Tour victory but first of the last 21 months after he picked off a pair on what was the UK Swing immediately after the circuits shutdown in response to the pandemic. Last week's PGA TOUR golf sleepers article successfully identified James Hahn as a high . Hes second on Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting and is one of the best/craftiest players around the greens, too. Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. You can too! Arnold Palmer Invitational Model Picks: Top 5, Top 10, Top 20, Top 40. Meanwhile, Burns and Spieth were No. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. He's not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but he's also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. I went back and forth between going all in on Finau or Max Homa but ultimately went with Finau on a coin-flip decision. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. As good as Morikawa is in so many. That means the best players in the world will be competing for a $20 million purse. It propelled him into the bubble for a special exemption at Southern Hills. Zach Johnson None of the 46-year-olds 12 PGA TOUR victories were in Florida, and hes done more damage on other sites in the state than PGA National, but he still deserves attention as a potential threat in matchup scenarios. McIlroy is coming off a disappointing T-32 finish at the. With narrow fairways, thick rough, firm and fast greens, Bay Hill can be one of the hardest courses of the season if the wind picks up. Pricing may vary. Hes a perfect sleeper this week! I like a gritty player with a strong short game to win this week, so Patrick Reed immediately grabs my attention. Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week. Ian McNeill's free PGA betting picks. Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. No time for WM Phoenix Open hangovers, the PGA TOUR continues full throttle to the 2023 Genesis Invitational at iconic Riviera Country Club. https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt. Reed is a grinder who navigates windy conditions well with a relatively low ball flight. My top 10 was: Xander Schauffele, Cantlay, McIlroy, Tony Finau, Shane Lowry, Kim, Hideki Matsuyama, Im, Max Homa and Scottie Scheffler. All Rights Reserved. Although hes still on the rise globally, hes no stranger to the brightest lights having made five starts in majors previously. Hes been comfortable navigating the redwoods of the PGA TOUR with six paydays in 10 starts, including a career-best T26 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines where he ranked second in Strokes Gained: Approach-the Green and co-led in par-3 scoring. Ads help us pay RotobBaller's award-winning writers as much as possible they are vital to the site's operations and team. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. Took a hit at the Wells Fargo with an MC, but he finished T3, T9, T13 in his three starts before that. OK, lets continue. Stop at mega chalk and go when we see leverage that makes sense. at Kiawah in 2012. None of those four players were inside the top 10 of my model, although Fitzpatrick was No. WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions Patrick Cantlay Outright Win +2000 End of the Season Totals: @rotoballer @BettorGolfPod 2017 +54.26 Units2018 +55.88 Units2019 +27.743 Units2020 + 37.015 Units2021 + 68.846 Units2022 +67.485 UnitsTotal Winnings: +311.229 UnitsTotal Outright Wins Since 2017: 36 H2H Totals Inside Thread https://t.co/pNQrSK1rFE. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, What it's like playing the new Fields Ranch East (a likely future Ryder Cup venue), Shriners Children's Open picks: 4 bets we love this week in Las Vegas, Sanderson Farms Championship picks: 4 bets we love this week in Mississippi, Sanderson Farms Championship odds: Presidents Cuppers among betting favorites this week, Need help computing (and paying!) One of McClure's top one and done picks this week for the Honda Classic is 24-year-old Sungjae Im. Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential Genesis Invitational Longshot Picks. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills Lifestyle PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills By: Nick Piastowski May. McClure has nailed plenty of One and Done picks, including Luke List at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Riley Hamel. Hes an excellent ball striker, so if the wind picks up, that could be in his favor. Lastly, course history plays more of a factor than in most weeks. Highest-Owned Golfers. Thomas is 207th in proximity to the hole this season and ranks 115th in strokes gained putting. at +400 for a Top 20. Over the last 10 years, Dustin Johnson is the only player with odds shorter than +2500 to win the tournament. Play with friends. Expert Picks A Change Text Size Written by Staff @PGATOUR How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Jon Rahm (+650) has the best golf odds to win. These are the golfers I am gravitating towards, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership. , they are back this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational from Arnold Palmers Bay Hill Club & Lodge just outside Orlando. Lifestyle . Ill stop typing for a second to hear the sound of a million mice clicking away. Promotional offers not available in Nevada and New York. Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, all from the expert who is up more than $2,000 on his PGA Tour picks this season. Five of those were victories, including his last outing at the Genesis Invitational. We can tell you one of McClure's top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jason Day at $8,500 on DraftKings and $10,500 on FanDuel. Think of it as a traffic light with four colors. Set a budget. Homa is becoming one of the best players on Tour; he already has two wins during the 2022-23 season. I really like the value for all three outright plays. Few players have been steadier over the past two months, with no finishes outside of the top 30 in his past eight starts including a runner-up finish at Quail Hollow and a fifth at Innisbrook in his past two starts. I still feel that were bound to get a run in DJs career where he rolls off a few major victories. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. At just 23 years young, hes taken more punches than hes given, but hes made some noise early in what is his second full season on the PGA TOUR. your golf bets? 1 Jon Rahm, who has already won two of three designated events this year. The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando is next up on the PGA Tour schedule, the third designated event in four weeks. I dont think hes a sleeper, but the odds say he is. Sleeper pick: Joel Dahmen, +35,000. As of Tuesday, its expected to be a windy tournament, especially on Friday, with gusts expected over 30 miles per hour. The very recent winner of the PGA Championship OK, so it was the tournament of the same name on the Sunshine Tour in November, but its not wrong and no one ever can take it away from him the 32-year-old representing South Africa has eight wins on his home circuit. Sometimes these guys need a little tweak in their routine to focus them in. His R3 scoring is not the best but that is usually because he is around the top of the leaderboard. Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. The contest at FDU's Stratis Arena in Teaneck will tip off at 8 p.m. The message was that hes balanced and playing well upon arrival. Whether youre a new bettor browsing futures odds for The Masters, a casual fan betting on Rory McIlroy to finish in the top five, a longtime diehard breaking down weather trends in Hawaii, theres something for everyone. This is the week he climbs the mountain. Jon Rahm is predicted to win Genesis Invitational with an 11.76% implied probability, according to betting markets. The Genesis Invitational is Feb. 16-19 at Riviera Country Club. To-win: Patrick Reed, +3,500. Give it to me! It starts this week. As a result, players are just as likely to make birdie as they are bogey. Sports betting is an amazing way to take your weekly golf entertainment to the next level. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. Has the game and mindset to handle whatever Kiawah throws at the players this week. Four golfers are priced shorter than 20-1 in Caesars Sportsbook's latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, led by Rahm at 7-1. These players will be higher-owned and chalkier than golfers in the same price range who had an off day, particularly with their irons. (But maybe sprinkle in a top 10 bet just to make sure. And when I looked at the 2012 leaderboard and saw three Englishmen in the top six (and Rory McIlroy from Northern Ireland winning), this pick began to look really good to me. To-win: Dustin Johnson, +1,850. Scenario 1 is the AM wave gets the best weather, particularly the guys going . Not only is the Genesis Invitational played at Riviera Country Club, one of the most elite courses in the country, but its a designated event, so all the top players on the PGA Tour are in the field, including tournament host Tiger Woods. Win Big With RotoBaller 6. You never mind a South African when the wind blows, especially a talent for whom his approach game has been his strength of late. Learn the game and know the odds. It propelled him into the bubble for a special exemption at Southern Hills. One of these golfers will score close to 40 points, giving our lineups a boost and freeing up salary to load up a few more reliable, higher-upside studs at the top of the slate. He also leads in par-5 scoring, par breakers and scrambling. The result marks Kirk's. The message was that hes balanced and playing well upon arrival. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Rahm will want to hang on to the No. He owns two wins and two top 10s in his past four starts on the European Tour, and it wouldnt surprise me in the least if he keeps up his hot streak on U.S. soil. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. He shot -2 today and will look to carry that momentum into the weekend. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. 3-ranked player in the world doesnt have a top-25 finish on the PGA Tour yet this calendar year. Sleeper pick: K.H. He even had his own Tiger Woods-like, boulder-moving experience at the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters in late March. Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. TV Broadcast: GOLFTV. Since 2020, he has 17 top-10 finishes, and 12 of them would be on difficult courses. And with back-to-back T3 finishes heading into the PGA, hes peaking at the right time. Sleeper pick: Max Homa, +17,500. That includes going 2-for-2 in the set last year. Sure. 1-800-547-6133 (WA). I was. Gambling problem? Does his best work with his putter. 19+ in Ontario. The Arnold Palmer Invitational, a designated event, is March 2-5. GOLF.COM may earn a fee. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Max Homa +8000 . This would suggest course history is more important than most weeks. Gambling problem? In his role, he is responsible for editing, writing and developing stories across the golf space. Ancer will get his first PGA Tour win in 2021 why not at a major? Jon Rahmhad a bit of a meltdown today on his second nine, but we can expect the Spaniard to return to the form he has displayed so consistently throughout the season. See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 Top 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational expert picks One shocking pick from McDonald: He is fading Thomas in his first appearance at Bay Hill since 2015. Hes fresh off a spirited run of performances on the Asian Tour, including his first victory on the circuit two weeks ago. While the past few weeks have given advantages to players who putt well on poa, putting wont be a key metric this week. To-win: Patrick Reed, +3,500. Clark checks off a lot of boxes when it comes to the key metrics for the week, especially around the green, where hes able to scramble well primarily because of his ability to putt well on poa. In four events in the 2023 calendar year, his worst finish is T-16 at the American Express. Since 2020, hes 3-for-3 with two top 15s and a scoring average of exactly 70. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. Schauffele has always played well at majors, and this has a major-tournament feel. Before locking in your 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational one and done picks, you need to see what SportsLine DFS pro and PGA expert Mike McClure has to say. WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023: Winners Payout & Prize Money Earnings, Arnold Palmer Invitational First & Second Round Tee Times. Where: Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida. Going into the tournament, Jon Rahm has the best odds to win at +750. After missing last fall due to a back injury, he has put the rust behind him as he finished fourth in his last start at the Genesis Invitational. Big whoop. The American Express Sleepers Tom Hoge +4000 Odds to Win Hoge is one of the most underrated players on the PGA Tour. Hes also gone 10 straight events worldwide without finishing lower than T-8. After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. A T21 at home followed two weeks later. He has the best odds to win at +650. A golfer's guide to making amazing old fashioneds, Love transfusion cocktails? 1 Jon Rahm and the other two men who held that spot in February Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy headline the 120-player Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field. 1-ranked player in the world has now won twice in his last three events worldwide. Not only is the Genesis Invitational played at Riviera Country Club, one of the most elite courses in the country, but its a, , so all the top players on the PGA Tour are in the field, including tournament host, The event will have a major championship-like feel because of the. Hes also 6-for-8 on the PGA TOUR, including a 3-for-4 in the majors.